A city grid at night with heat rising from every junction while the roads between glow purple

The Momentum Papers · 07 of 15 · The full cost

The $6 trillion price of stop-go

The momentum tax, the fuel, time and wear lost to stopping, runs to roughly $5 trillion a year. Add the wider costs of crashes, pollution, freight delay and signalling, and the total cost of stop-go infrastructure reaches an estimated $6 to 7 trillion.

The core

The momentum tax: ~$5 trillion a year

The momentum tax is the direct cost of forcing vehicles to stop and start: fuel burned twice, time lost in queues, and the extra wear on engines, brakes and tyres. Modelled across the world’s signalised junctions, it comes to roughly $5 trillion a year.

~5,000 TWhEnergy lost every year to stopping, slowing and restarting
~75bn hrsOf human time lost, about nine hours for every person on earth
~1.3 GtCO₂ a year, roughly 3 to 4% of global fossil emissions

Beyond the core

The wider system cost

Wider costWho pays
Crash costs at junctions: medical, legal and lost outputHealth systems, insurers, families
Air pollution health costsHealth systems
Freight delays and penaltiesLogistics and retail
Building and maintaining signalsTaxpayers
Noise, stress and mental healthSociety
Carbon costsNations and companies
Total system cost, including the momentum taxAn estimated $6–7 trillion a year

Insurance premiums are how much of the crash cost is paid, so they are not added again on top. All figures are modelled estimates.

In context

What the numbers mean

~4.5%Of global GDP, about $110 trillion in 2024, taken by the momentum tax alone
600+Large nuclear reactors’ worth of annual output, lost at junctions
~1.3 GtCO₂ from one solvable cause

This is not a marginal inefficiency or a technical edge case. Stop-go infrastructure is one of the largest single sources of economic waste in the modern world, and it has never been tackled at the infrastructure level, because until now there has been no way to pay for the fix.

The question is not whether we can afford to change this. It is how we have accepted the cost for so long.